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to crime as an issue that motivates both the party’s base and moderate voters. “There’s a lot of people concerned about their personal safety — not just in the cities, but in the suburbs around the cities — because crime tends to radiate out of the city into the suburbs and exurbs,” said Brian Schimming, a Republican strategist and former vice chairman of the state GOP. “So it’s not just a core city problem. It’s on a much larger scale, the awareness of it.” Trump ally’s victory in New Hampshire GOP primary completes Senate battleground map Wisconsin saw a 70% increase in murders from 2019 to 2021 — a trend that occurred across the nation and that experts say was driven by the coronavirus pandemic and economic factors. Democrats, however, said they see Republicans’ attacks on Barnes over crime as an effort to motivate the GOP’s base voters, rather than win over what Joe Zepecki, a Democratic strategist in Milwaukee, described as the “vanishingly small group of truly swing voters” that exist in the race’s final weeks. “This crime and public safety issue is a base motivator for Republicans, so of course, they’re going to keep going into that,” Zepecki said. “But I don’t think crime or public safety is going to be the issue that ultimately determines where those 150,000 to 200,000 swing voters land when they walk in and cast a ballot.” Zepecki added: “I do really view these crime attacks on Barnes — they may work among Republicans, but I don’t see
National Republican Senatorial Committee, the Senate GOP campaign arm, labeled Barnes “dangerous” and a “defund the police Democrat.” In other ads, Republicans have highlighted Barnes’ work a decade ago as an organizer for a Milwaukee-based social justice group to cut Wisconsin’s prison population in half, to 11,000 inmates by 2015, and his advocacy for ending cash bail. Barnes has said his proposals to end cash bail would have required judges to hold those charged with crimes in custody if there was clear evidence the defendant was dangerous. Aiming to rebut the attacks, Barnes’ campaign on Thursday rolled out a list of endorsements from a group of nine current and former police officers and sheriff’s deputies. “He wants to ensure we have the resources we need to do our job while also going to the root of the issue, to help stop crime before it has a chance to start,” Paul Piotrowski, a retired police sergeant in Stevens Point, Wisconsin, said of Barnes in a statement from the Democrat’s campaign announcing the endorsements. Reaching suburban voters The attacks on Barnes over crime come as Republicans attempt to reach the moderate, suburban voters who in early 2022 appeared to be tilting strongly in the GOP’s favor. Declining concerns about inflation and the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, though, have led to shifts among those voters in Democrats’ favor, polls have shown. And the issue of abortion has animated parts of the Democratic electorate that party officials had feared would sit out November’s midterms. Republicans in Wisconsin pointed
them being a game changer to that middle part of the electorate to whom this is ultimately going to come down to.” Longtime swing state Wisconsin has a history of statewide elections decided by narrow margins in recent years. Biden won the state in 2020 by about 20,000 votes, four years after former President Donald Trump won there by about 23,000 votes. Johnson has won his two Senate races, defeating incumbent Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold in 2010 and winning a rematch with Feingold in 2016, by about 100,000 votes each time. A Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday showed Barnes and Johnson in a neck-and-neck race — 49% for Johnson versus 48% for Barnes among likely voters. It was an improvement for Johnson, who had trailed Barnes by 7 points in the same poll immediately after Wisconsin’s August 9 primary. The poll found that 70% of registered voters said they were very concerned about inflation — but crime ranked second, with 61% saying they were very concerned about it. Both candidates have near-unanimous support from their own parties’ voters, the poll found. But the biggest swing was among likely independent voters, who backed Barnes by 15 points in August but favored Johnson by 2 points in September. ‘Out of touch’: Wisconsin’s Barnes and Johnson prepare for general election campaign defined by attacks More registered voters viewed Johnson unfavorably (47%) than favorably (39%), the poll showed. Barnes’ numbers were better, with 33% saying they saw him favorably compared with 22% who saw him unfavorably. But 25% said they have not heard enough about Barnes, suggesting that Johnson and Republicans still have room to attempt to define him in the eyes of many voters. Tom Otto, a 60-year-old retiree in
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